20 passes through the data
Training loss
—final loss
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Observed worldCraftax Classic
This is the world the model learned from: a random-policy environment rollout, not the model dreaming yet.
Recorded observation
Seed
Frame 00 / 51
Before the first action
Step00/
Initial observation saved.
Not a picture. This first model tried to predict the hidden numbers describing what changes next.
Current observation
state valuesWhat happened
possible actionsSmall neural model
hidden featuresPrediction
It practiced on recorded transitions, then faced transitions from episodes it had never seen.
A transition is one moment: what the world looked like, the action taken, and what happened next.
That made “predict nothing changes” a surprisingly strong opponent.
Metric
Lower error is better ↓
Two curves tell the story: practice made the loss fall, but looking several steps ahead made the model's mistakes compound.
20 passes through the data
—final loss
Forecast horizon
—model at step 8
The model remains worse than simply copying the starting state across all eight imagined steps.
Every learned number sits beside the simplest baseline that could expose a misleading success.
Saved on this website
Kept on the Spark
↗World Models Lab